AGP Executive Report

Parliament & Economy: Central Bank Governor Fatih Karahan is set to brief lawmakers on Oct. 6 on inflation, monetary policy and global economic developments, as Ankara moves to respond to the ongoing investment fund turmoil. Accountability & Gaza: President Erdoğan reiterated Türkiye will not step back until those behind Gaza “crimes against humanity” are held accountable, vowing continued diplomatic pressure. Capital Markets Oversight: Erdoğan convened his economic team over the fund crisis, while Ankara weighs tighter capital-market rules and new oversight measures to prevent repeat market disruptions. Sports Integrity Probe: Turkish authorities detained Ferhat Gündoğdu and other officials in a fraud investigation into alleged document forgery and manipulation within the referees system. Courtroom Update: A court ordered the release of comedian Deniz Göktaş after a conviction tied to “insulting” Erdoğan, following a trial that highlighted his time in detention. Football Fallout: Turkey suffered a 4-1 Nations League loss to Italy in Bursa, sparking boos and calls for Montella and TFF chief resignations. Culture & Heritage: Ankara hosts “Antique Goods Days” on Oct. 10-11, while Antalya excavations recovered 2,100-year-old luxury tableware from a shipwreck.

Capital Markets Watch: President Erdoğan said Turkey’s fund-market turmoil is contained to a limited segment and vowed swift administrative and legal steps, with investigations continuing into alleged market manipulation. Food Prices: Turkey’s Trade Ministry launched Istanbul inspections targeting unauthorized simit price hikes, warning of heavy administrative sanctions. Cyprus Diplomacy: UN envoy María Ángela Holguín warned the “window” for Cyprus progress is closing, while Turkish Cypriot leader Erhürman said he won’t discuss anything beyond Guterres’ seven points; Özer Kanlı urged talks to focus on Turkish Cypriot status, equality and security. Regional Security: NATO’s top commander said any EU defense structure should complement NATO, not compete, as EU-NATO defense cooperation grows. EU Cable Row: Greece denied plans to redesign the Great Sea Interconnector route amid disputes linked to Turkey’s marine park. Politics & Courts: An Istanbul court convicted comedian Deniz Göktaş for insulting Erdoğan but ordered release pending appeal; another case highlights Turkey’s broader crackdown climate. Business & Markets: Turkish stocks fell over 3% as police detained suspects in a fund and share-trading probe. Turkey-World: Erdoğan spoke by phone with Indonesia’s Prabowo on trade and defense ties and invited him to COP31 in Antalya.

ICC Tension: Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu has ordered preparations for a potential ICC legal case targeting Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, with claims tied to Ankara’s alleged links to Hamas and Kurdish groups, after Erdoğan said Türkiye sought an Interpol red notice for Netanyahu; Ankara dismissed the UN rhetoric as “desperate and empty.” Ankara Weather & Safety: Heavy overnight rain flooded parts of Ankara, including Keçiören, where residents reported sewage water, road damage and delays in municipal response. Fund Probe & PKK Process: Turkey’s cabinet is set to review the investment fund crisis and “terror-free Türkiye” steps, alongside progress on PKK disarmament and dissolution, as Finance Minister Şimşek pledged liquidity support and continued legal action against market disruptors. Public Health: Eastern Mediterranean University urged calm over West Nile Virus concerns in TRNC, stressing prevention measures. Economy & Daily Life: A retail study found Turks most often buy chicken, rice and yogurt for dinner, and that grocery spending shifts with payday. Science & Medicine: Türkiye says it now offers broad-panel genetic screening for 1,000+ inherited disorders before pregnancy. Regional Diplomacy: France is pushing a UN veto-reform initiative that mirrors Erdoğan’s long-standing calls to reshape the Security Council. Sports: Manchester City’s 115-rule verdict drew fresh comments from Roberto Mancini, while Ireland’s Gaza-linked protests marked its Nations League match vs Israel.

AKP Fund Crisis: Former AKP deputy chair Fatma Betül Sayan Kaya says Erdoğan accepted her resignation after allegations tied to stock trades during Turkey’s investment-fund liquidity turmoil, as regulators moved to liquidate funds and opposition demanded answers. UN Diplomacy: Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan says Türkiye will keep pushing for a “fairer international order,” highlighting intensive UNGA diplomacy on Palestine, climate, food security and mediation. Azerbaijan Remembrance: Erdoğan marked Sept. 27 by honoring Karabakh martyrs and reiterating “Garabagh is Azerbaijani land and will remain so forever.” Tourism Push: Culture and Tourism Minister Mehmet Nuri Ersoy says Türkiye aims to turn tourism into a year-round business across all 81 provinces. Regional Security: A pro-Iran Iraqi militia warned it may abandon commitments if Baghdad “backtracks” on guarantees amid a phased plan to bring armed groups under state control. Energy & Trade: Ethiopia’s seaborne trade remains heavily concentrated through Djibouti, while Berbera’s capacity lags far behind despite DP World’s expansion plans. Maritime Flashpoint: Iran’s IRGC claims it captured a US underwater drone in the Strait of Hormuz, warning the strait is “closed.”

AKP Probe Fallout: AKP deputy chair Fatma Betül Sayan Kaya resigned early Sept. 27 to allow an independent investigation into allegations tied to a public fund controversy, saying she took political responsibility so authorities could clarify the claims. UNGA Diplomacy: Turkish FM Hakan Fidan met UN General Assembly president Khalilur Rahman in New York, while Fidan also held talks with counterparts including Iran and discussed Turkey’s push for dialogue and UN reform. Regional Security: Oman urged Iran and the US to settle disputes politically while pledging to keep navigation safe through the Strait of Hormuz; meanwhile, Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan are coordinating under the Mecca Defence Alliance as Red Sea and Saudi infrastructure risks rise. Middle East Politics: Netanyahu’s UNGA speech drew sharp backlash and accusations of scapegoating, including from Turkish officials. Energy & Tourism: TPAO’s Şırnak oil exploration license was extended to 2028, and Turkey’s certified accommodation capacity topped 1.9 million beds in August, led by Antalya. Sports & Culture: Kobir met Fidan on Bangladesh-Türkiye cooperation and COP31; Amed’s 10th book fair opened in Diyarbakır province.

UN Diplomacy: China’s Vice President Han Zheng told UN chief Guterres Beijing will keep backing the Security Council and global governance on issues like climate change and AI. Palestine Vote Prep: Palestine’s elections commission opened registration for candidate lists for the Nov. 28 legislative vote in the West Bank and Gaza, with rules on list size and women’s representation. US-China Trade: The White House says China and the US agreed tariff “recommendations” covering $30bn in non-sensitive goods, plus a working group on agricultural market access. Türkiye-Gaza: Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan said Türkiye again put Palestinians at the center of UNGA talks, warning Israel’s aggression blocks a Gaza peace process. Türkiye-Israel Row: Erdoğan hit back at Israel’s “misguided narrative,” stressing Ankara has no hostility toward the Israeli people. Local Weather: A storm warning was issued for the Sea of Marmara, with strong winds and possible ferry disruptions. Sports: Manchester City chairman Khaldoon Al Mubarak urged fans to stay calm after reports of guilty findings in the Premier League financial case, saying “nothing has changed.”

Turkey Fund Probe: Turkey has arrested 45 people tied to a $18bn fund manipulation case involving 131 investment funds, with regulators liquidating the funds after investors rushed to withdraw. UN Reform & Gaza Diplomacy: President Erdoğan used the UNGA to push sweeping UN changes, including ending Security Council veto power, while also renewing criticism of Israel’s Gaza conduct. Cyprus Talks Under Strain: In New York, diplomatic sources deny claims of a Turkish Cypriot veto over a planned meeting, as Greek Cypriot officials urge missions to avoid contact with Turkish Cypriot representatives. Makkah Defence Alliance: Saudi, Turkish and Pakistani defence chiefs met in Riyadh to coordinate support for Saudi Arabia amid intensifying Houthi attacks, under the collective defence pact. Iran–US Tensions: Iran says it awaits a US response to a proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within seven days, after reports Trump rejected the plan. Local Life: Istanbul braces for a week of intermittent rain and falling temperatures; Erzurum bans feeding stray dogs across the province. Manisa School Shooting: Seven of 10 suspects were arrested after a shooting near a vocational high school left 11 students injured.

Turkey-UN Clash: Netanyahu escalated his UNGA attack on President Erdoğan, calling him a “tyrant” and accusing Ankara of hosting Hamas leaders, while Turkey rejected the claims. Gaza Strikes: Israeli artillery and drone attacks in Gaza wounded four Palestinians, including a girl, as ceasefire violations continue. Mecca Defense Pact: Erdoğan said the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement is not aimed at Iran or Israel, as Turkish, Saudi and Pakistani top commanders met in Riyadh amid Yemen tensions. Iraq Base Deal: Ankara and Baghdad agreed on a gradual handover of a Sinjar base, with militia disarmament and security hurdles still in focus. Counterterror Raids: Türkiye detained 83 suspected ISIS members in raids across 28 provinces. Economy & Finance: World Bank approved $750m for Türkiye’s agrifood sector; separate reports say 45 suspects were arrested in a stock market manipulation probe. Sports: Trabzonspor faces disciplinary referrals after the Galatasaray derby incidents, while Turkey’s Nations League opener vs France features Zidane’s debut. Culture & Heritage: A Hittite-era clay fragment linked to the Kadesh Peace Treaty was unearthed at Hattusa.

UN Diplomacy & Gaza: Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan chaired the OIC foreign ministers’ annual coordination meeting in New York, putting Gaza, Israeli attacks on Syria and Lebanon, and Gaza’s “genocidal policies” at the center of talks. Black Sea & Food Security: President Erdoğan said Türkiye is intensifying efforts to restore the grain corridor, warning the Black Sea must not become a “front” and stressing safer navigation would protect food security and stop war spillover. F-35 Talks: Erdoğan told reporters Washington has shown “positive willingness” on Türkiye’s return to the F-35 program and that Ankara expects “concrete steps.” Iraq Security: Ankara and Baghdad agreed on a gradual handover of the Bashiqa-Zelikan camp to Iraq and to extend Iraqi state authority in Sinjar while ending the presence of “outlawed foreign armed elements.” Middle East Shipping: Erdoğan urged keeping the Strait of Hormuz open to shipping, warning disruptions would hit energy markets and daily life far beyond the region. EU Border Pressure: Turkish truck drivers report entry denials and delays at EU borders as stricter Schengen checks disrupt road freight and trade. Defence Watch: Baykar’s SİVRİSİNEK loitering munition has been spotted in Azerbaijani service, boosting deep-strike capabilities in the region.

UN Diplomacy: President Erdoğan wrapped up his UNGA push with renewed calls for Palestinian statehood, UN Security Council reform, and Gaza reconstruction, while Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa drew attention for appearing to scroll Instagram during Erdoğan’s speech. Black Sea Security: Erdoğan told Zelenskyy that attacks on commercial vessels in the Black Sea are “inexplicable” and urged steps to ensure navigation safety, as Ankara awaits responses to its proposals. Turkey-Armenia Normalization: Erdoğan met Armenian PM Pashinyan in New York, focusing on trade and transport ties and momentum toward normalization. Iraq Border Deal: Turkey and Iraq agreed on a gradual handover of the Bashiqa-Zilkan base to Iraq’s federal government, tied to security steps in Sinjar. Climate Policy for COP31: Erdoğan warned that equal climate pace is unrealistic without closing financing and technology gaps, as Turkey prepares COP31 in Antalya. Economy Watch: The OECD cut Turkey’s 2026 growth forecast to 2.7% amid fallout from the Iran war and higher energy and fertilizer prices. Health: Turkey reported about 125,000 tobacco-related deaths annually—roughly one every four minutes. Energy: Turkey’s first offshore wind tender is set for early 2027, drawing international interest. Transport Disruption: EU visa rules are leaving thousands of Turkish truck drivers stranded at border crossings.

Ankara Politics: Ankara Mayor Mansur Yavaş quit the CHP and will serve as an independent, saying opposition infighting can’t deliver democratic change. UN Diplomacy: At the UNGA, Türkiye’s President Erdoğan met Armenian PM Nikol Pashinyan in New York as normalization efforts continue; Cyprus President Christodoulides hit back at Erdoğan’s Cyprus remarks as “utmost hypocrisy.” Regional Security: Türkiye and Iraq agreed to deepen security cooperation in Sinjar and start a gradual handover of the Bashiqa-Zilkan base to Baghdad. Aviation & Sanctions: Iran suspended some international flights after new US aviation sanctions; Turkish Airlines also canceled Iran routes amid the fallout. Economy & Trade: Türkiye-UK trade talks move toward a broader deal covering services and digital economy. Aviation Orders: Turkish Airlines finalized an order for up to 150 Boeing 737 MAX jets. International Crackdown: Türkiye repatriated 76 wanted suspects from eight countries with foreign law enforcement cooperation. Culture & Heritage: Turkey’s archaeologists found a fragment of an ancient peace treaty inscribed in cuneiform at Hattusa.

UN Diplomacy: Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan used the UN General Assembly in New York to press for UN Security Council reform and the abolition of veto privilege, while also calling for de-escalation in Iran and Ukraine and safe navigation in the Black Sea. Gaza & Palestine: Erdoğan renewed his Gaza condemnation, describing it as the “most inhumane, most shameful concentration camp,” and urged wider recognition of a Palestinian state. Kashmir: Erdoğan again raised the Kashmir dispute, calling for dialogue under the UN Charter after Turkey’s recent Mecca defense pact with Pakistan and Saudi Arabia. Black Sea Security: Turkey warned attacks on commercial ships in the Black Sea are unacceptable, as drone incidents continue to raise fears for civilian vessels. Capital Markets: In Istanbul, Pusula and Tera Holding executives were arrested in a capital markets probe, adding to market stress. Economy & Living Costs: A survey found only 8% of Turkish employees can save or invest, while most income is swallowed by bills and essentials. Domestic Violence: A gunman opened fire near a vocational school in Manisa, injuring at least 11 people; the suspect was arrested. Alevi-Bektashi Governance: Türkiye’s Alevi-Bektashi advisory board held its first meeting to set priorities for cemevis and community needs.

UN Diplomacy: President Erdoğan used the UN General Assembly in New York to demand UN Security Council reform, including abolishing the veto privilege and stripping permanent members of veto power, while also calling for stronger international pressure on Israel over Gaza. Gaza & Israel: Erdoğan condemned Israel’s “state terror” and said Gaza is “the most inhumane, most shameful concentration camp,” as Israel’s delegation walked out during his speech. Black Sea Security: Erdoğan also condemned attacks on commercial vessels in the Black Sea and said Türkiye is working to restore safe navigation and protect food security. Ukraine Mediation: Erdoğan urged Russia’s war against Ukraine to end in a settlement that protects Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity. Regional Maritime Tensions: G7 foreign ministers urged Iran to stop military support for Yemen’s Houthis, warning it could endanger shipping and stability. Middle East Air Disruptions: Iran Air said it received no official ban on flights to Istanbul, Baku and Najaf, while flights from Tehran to Baghdad and Muscat were reported cancelled ahead of tighter US sanctions. Domestic Safety: A shooting outside a high school in Turgutlu, Manisa left 11 injured, with three in critical condition, as police arrested the suspect.

UN Diplomacy: President Erdoğan used the UN General Assembly week to renew calls for UN Security Council reform, arguing the veto power of permanent members must go and that “the world is bigger than five” means broader global responsibility. Turkey–US Ties: U.S. envoy Tom Barrack said the S-400 dispute with Ankara “will be resolved,” while Erdoğan urged removal of barriers to defense cooperation and reiterated the $100B trade goal. Regional Security: Turkey’s COP31 president laid out an implementation-focused agenda, including raising electricity’s share to 35% by 2035 and cutting municipal waste growth by half. Middle East Tensions: The Houthis warned Saudi allies including Turkey and Pakistan could be targeted as the Yemen conflict escalates. Domestic Safety: A gunman opened fire outside a vocational high school in Turgutlu, Manisa, wounding at least five to eight people; the suspect was arrested and motives are under investigation. Economy & Housing: Türkiye’s average home sale price hit 5.3 million lira, while retail brands still plan expansion despite profitability pressure. Aviation: Turkish Airlines suspended flights to Iran until March 2027 amid tightening U.S. sanctions.

Citizenship Crackdown: Türkiye canceled/withdrew citizenship for 6,134 people tied to fraud and security concerns, including 1,150 investors whose eligibility certificates were revoked over sham or irregular property appraisals. Aviation & Travel: iGA Istanbul Airport opened its fourth main runway (sixth overall) after an €890m Phase 2 expansion, boosting Istanbul’s hub ambitions. UN Diplomacy: Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan urged the US to use greater leverage on Israel and said Ankara sent proposals to Ukraine and Russia to halt Black Sea attacks. COP31 Push: Turkey is promoting COP31 in New York, pitching AI’s climate footprint as a summit priority and drafting an “Antalya Declaration” on AI energy use. Regional Logistics: Kazakhstan and Türkiye agreed to remove quantitative limits on electronic road transit permits and allow Kazakh carriers to collect freight directly in Turkish maritime ports. Cyprus Update: TRNC authorities extended detention of nine people in the Kyrenia ferry probe; the death toll stands at 15 with 13 missing. Energy Deal Watch: Pakistan’s IESCO privatisation drew 10 EOIs, including three Turkish firms, as investors seek 51%-100% stakes and management control. Press Freedom: Rights groups demanded release of Istanbul-based journalist Tuğba Tekerek over an LGBT-related obscenity investigation.

UN Diplomacy: President Erdoğan arrived in New York for the 81st UN General Assembly, with his Sept. 22 speech expected to focus on Gaza and calls for Palestine statehood, plus meetings with UN chief Guterres and other leaders. Regional Security: Turkey is renewing efforts to ease Afghanistan-Pakistan tensions, with MIT chief İbrahim Kalın visiting Kabul, Kandahar and Islamabad, while Qatar mediates US-Iran talks aimed at restarting negotiations. Middle East Flashpoint: As Houthi attacks hit Saudi Arabia, Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan says Turkey stands in solidarity under the Mecca pact and can provide technical military support if needed. Economy & Jobs: Ankara’s new Medium-Term Program targets adding about 2.13 million jobs by 2029, boosting women’s workforce participation via expanded childcare and support for young jobseekers. Markets Shock: A fund bubble burst in Türkiye, freezing savings for hundreds of thousands and triggering liquidation steps for 131 investment funds. Sports: Fenerbahçe thrashed Eyüpspor 8-0, while Amedspor surged to the Süper Lig summit after beating Beşiktaş 3-2. Aviation: Turkish Airlines’ A350 incident at Newark raised questions after it lined up without takeoff clearance, and another flight returned to Istanbul after entering Russian airspace during a drone attack.